The pandemic and memories of Campbell Newman mean the LNP can’t play its natural game against a big government target, writes Robert MacDonald

If the LNP wins government on October 31 it probably wonāt be because of its economic development policies.
Not that thereās anything particularly wrong with them.
Itās just that weāve heard them before.
Just about anything that sounds like a good idea has either been tried before or already taken up by the ALP.
The LNP has declared its will āback Queensland and buy localā and āensure government assistance and government contracts are provided to Queensland-based businesses.ā
The Palaszczuk Government introduced something similar in August last year with an āenhancedā Ā Queensland Procurement Policy, which instructed its agencies to buy local where possible.
In July this year, it announced a target of 25 per cent of all government purchases to be from Queensland small- and medium-sized businesses, increasing to 30 per cent next year.
In other words, nil-all on the buy-local front.
The LNP has also promised to āspeed up government payments to small businessā, arguing that āitās simply unacceptable that family-owned businesses are short-changed by the government.ā
However, the Palaszczuk Government already has an on-time payment policy for government invoices, which says that registered small business suppliers will earn interest on any invoices not paid within 20 days.
So, another draw.
The LNP is also promising to āāfast track approvals to create jobsā, unlike āthe Palaszczuk Government (which) will find any excuse to delay job-creating infrastructure and projects to appease Greens voters in Jackie Tradās seat of South Brisbaneā
Not so, the Labor Government would no doubt insist (at least since Trad lost the Deputy Premiership in May this year.)
It has issued dozens of media statements highlighting Ā āfast-trackedā activity of various sorts during its current term of office and just a week ago, announced it had approved the $1 billion Olive Downs coal mine in central Queensland.
Again, a draw unless the LNP can convince voters it has a more efficient way to approve big, almost inevitably controversial projects.
And yes it does, says the LNP, with perhaps its biggest pre-election policy idea ā a Ā new Economic Recovery Agency, āto get Queensland working again.ā
The agency would be headed by a second Coordinator-General and be in charge of a new LNP governmentās Ā first-100 day action plan ā a long list of big ideas, from delivering the new Bradfield scheme and establishing a new Queensland Dam Company to establishing an Industry Skills council to address trade skills shortages.
Creating new bureaucracies rarely seems the right answer to the question, āhow do we get things going again?ā but, at least itās an idea the LNP has on its own.
And so, a narrow win on points perhaps.
The LNP has also offered that staple of all oppositions ā a guarantee of no new taxes, an idea that sounds fine but one that could in fact be an own goal for the LNP.
The Opposition has previously pledged to āstabilise the stateās debtā and on Sunday, Shadow Treasurer Tim Mander said an LNP government would also be aiming to get the State back into surplus within four years.
āIt will be difficult to have expenditure below revenue but over the economic cycle, thatās our plan,ā he told the ABC.
And how will they do it according to Mander?
āWe are going to grow the economy as well and we will increase other taxes as well,ā which sounds like the no new taxes promise broken pre-emptively.
But even if you, kindly, assume Mander was just trying to repeat the point he had made earlier in the interview ā that he believed the take from existing taxes would rise because of increased economic activity ā it still raises the question of how the LNP plans to balance the budget over four years.
Treasurer Cameron Dick says the pandemic has seen a $6.7 billion fall in state revenues and Adept Economics economist Gene Tunny has estimated state debt could keep blowing out, to up to $118 billion by 2023-24.
That gives the Labor government the easy line that the LNP must be planning huge cuts to government services and jobs.
The frustration for the LNP is that after nearly six years in office and a 15 per cent increase in public service numbers, Ā the Labor Government should be an easy target for an opposition normally philosophically opposed to big government.
Surely there must be fat and waste to highlight.
But the still-searing memory of Campbell Newmanās slash-and-burn administration and subsequent treatment by voters, combined with the pandemic-inspired acceptance of the need for government support in all sorts of areas, means pre-election promises of fiscal rectitude, value-for-money and a review of existing services, will barely get a look in.
And so, the LNP finds itself having to pull its punches and not play its natural game.
Instead it finds itself with a collection of promises that, individually, might win some voters here and there ā its commitment to more dams for instance ā but which offer little to inspire voters looking for a new economic direction.
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